Description

This analysis provides a forecast of RUNE prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-01-05 2.814523 3.319902 3.858809 4.473052 5.150587 5.872070 6.695363
2025-01-12 2.037838 2.718047 3.500751 4.454067 5.570060 6.822104 8.319808
2025-01-19 1.473091 2.224480 3.155436 4.359933 5.844075 7.581984 9.739459
2025-01-26 1.141217 1.938064 2.994070 4.433075 6.282020 8.521191 11.380474
2025-02-02 0.897753 1.712270 2.863136 4.506582 6.696246 9.423912 12.988137
2025-02-09 0.661406 1.440555 2.621759 4.392876 6.840026 9.973208 14.157890
2025-02-16 0.484084 1.215347 2.406866 4.280046 6.957540 10.471975 15.257889
2025-02-23 0.372176 1.071521 2.289311 4.284738 7.219905 11.152311 16.592150
2025-03-02 0.271562 0.917606 2.129018 4.203003 7.344656 11.640961 17.676803
2025-03-09 0.228476 0.870553 2.140133 4.380049 7.840107 12.635730 19.440561
2025-03-16 0.172643 0.774005 2.047514 4.379734 8.068651 13.263671 20.722106
2025-03-23 0.149220 0.751326 2.087452 4.594928 8.621673 14.349845 22.634154
2025-03-30 0.124663 0.718386 2.106472 4.781216 9.146222 15.421450 24.566252
2025-04-06 0.096324 0.660688 2.067297 4.863700 9.512974 16.277906 26.221616
2025-04-13 0.066040 0.576290 1.957461 4.811103 9.662962 16.824158 27.457146
2025-04-20 0.050140 0.535196 1.935150 4.911638 10.055318 17.725196 29.195289
2025-04-27 0.037186 0.495710 1.909229 5.000948 10.428687 18.601786 30.907924
2025-05-04 0.021544 0.420129 1.780674 4.883676 10.456442 18.965502 31.900874
2025-05-11 0.011247 0.353491 1.658261 4.764581 10.471146 19.304197 32.857533
2025-05-18 0.006323 0.314679 1.601828 4.770648 10.693277 19.955075 34.264835
2025-05-25 0.002578 0.266370 1.504907 4.683170 10.748407 20.349532 35.305114
2025-06-01 0.001743 0.260844 1.538832 4.873857 11.291099 21.498227 37.448537
2025-06-08 0.000604 0.230940 1.486578 4.873622 11.496438 22.128153 38.843654